Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.
❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞
"Because Ukraine relies on foreign assistance to continue its war, it must constantly be in a performative mode and under pressure to deliver visible successes."
Ukraine reminds me of a business with less-than-entirely-honest managers who personally profit by engineering quarterly results to please Wall Street. The venture began as hyped vaporware with no revenues but lots of buzz and deep-pocketed backing. It’s likely to end as a no-longer-popular brand loaded with debt, asset-stripped, and sold off after massive layoffs. It never had to be sustainable. Insiders just have to know when to get out to walk away rich.
By contrast Russia resembles a business in it for the long haul. It’s making risky, costly investments that nonetheless have a chance to pay off over time. It’s neither out for a quick buck nor dependent on financial gimmickry or nonsensical advertising. Even in a cutthroat market it’s getting a job done. Its competitors once knew how to build things, but that was when "stock" referred to industrial output rather than pieces of paper. After decades of farming out labor to offshore proxies they've forgotten how to develop products themselves, and rather than learn those skills again, they do everything they can think of to wreck the competition.
Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.
❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞
The explanation about the stalled Russian offensive made much more practical sense than holding back in case NATO joins the fray, which sounds ridiculous as soon as it is uttered out loud or put on writing.
As for poor Moldova, some more details:
1. After one of the many wars between Ottomans (who were controlling the Principality of Moldova and Wallachia at that time), the Ottomans lost and in the horse trading that happened before finalizing a peace treaty, Russia started by asking the entire principality of Moldova. However, this was just before the Napoleonic invasion of Russia and the Russians were in a hurry to get the paperwork done. The Ottomans did not know about this threat and their dragoman charged with concluding the treaty (a Greek) was bought by the Russians. However, in the end Russians relented only with the eastern half of principality of Moldova, what was known as Bessarabia. The southern part of Bessarabia, Budjeak, on the coast of Black Sea is now part of the Odessa Oblast and through time, between 1812 and 1917 changed hands several times with Moldova and then with the United Romanian Principalities (then Kingdom of Romania). The Greek Dragoman was subsequently beheaded...
1. During the Russian Revolution, due to the collapse of the Russian Army, Romanian troops entered Bassarabia and ultimately, the region voted to re-unite with Romania.
3. After WWI and the victory of the Bolsheviks, a phantom RSS Moldova was set-up in present day Transnistria, on the eastern side of Dnister River. That area was never under Moldovan/Romanian control.
4. After WWII, Russians took back Bessarabia, and probably as interest payment also grabbed Northern Bukovina from Romania, which is now in Ukraine. Subsequently, Romania also "donated" the Snake Island to USSR.
Romanian language has a Daco-Thracian substrate, a Latin main component, and a Slavic ad-stratum. The fact that there is a Slavic component in Moldovan and likely overall Romanian genetic make up shouldn't surprise anyone. There was a cohabitation for some time until the Slavs decided to cross the Danube and then moved in Byzantine territories. So one cannot make that much hay out of that.
Also, there is a very easy solution for Moldova, which can renounce to Transnistria and re-unite with Romania, thus gaining immediate access to NATO and EU, and the whole thing of Moldovan Neutrality is bypassed without a problem and there will be none to join Russian protests. The only smart thing for Russian Government would be to issue a congratulatory note as well as an apology. The way the US is keeping North and South Korea separated, this is how Russia kept Romania separated after 1990 (albeit with far less interference, admittedly Transnistria secession was very likely a locally driven affair).
The question is what if Romania and Moldova decide to re-unite without renouncing to Transnistria... all the while guaranteeing the rights of minorities for local (that means villages, towns, cities, not areas) autonomy and everything else Hungarian minority has in Romania....
On a side note, Ukraine tried to set up a coup in Belarus some years ago, prior to the invasion, trying to blame Russia for it (some mercenaries on their way to an African country transiting through Minsk)...
Can't believe you didn't mention the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact and the secret agreement. Last time I was in Chisinau there was a large display in the main square giving a full account of the background to Bessarabia's annexation in 1939.
You have to understand the context a bit here, the facts and various actions that led to it and the consequences of the pact.
The resurgent Germany was regarded with certain admiration by the west. The first test for the west in respect to its ideological bend was the Spanish Civil War which pitted the republican government against the monarchists. The west preferred to let Spain fall in the hands of Franco's fascism than to have a Spanish republic with some more egalitarian hues, all the while witnessing Germany's support.
Then came Austrian invasion and Czechoslovakian partition. only the Russians offered to send troops to support the Czechs, but Poland would not allow such a transit through their territory. The Soviets wanted to enter in a treaty with the British and the French and the Poles against the Germans, but they were delayed and refused. As such, the last solution for Russia was to enter in a Treaty of Non Aggression with the Germans, in order to buy time.
The Germans have orchestrated very well this, and had many ulterior motives behind all that secret Annex. The Annex gave the Russians the impression that they are buying peace and even getting something in return, like parts of Poland, parts of Romania, liberty to engage against the Fins without German interference.
But the German leadership always knew that the ultimate goal was taking over the European part of Russia. So by sacrificing certain countries now (secretly, with the blame falling entirely on the Soviets), they would have allies in the future. Let us not forget the Vienna Diktat, which happened prior to the Molotov-Ribbentrop Treaty, and through which the Germans have bought Hungarian allegiance with Romanian territory...
The Finns were of big help in the siege of Leningrad, for about 900 days, during which almost one million of civilians died of hunger and disease. I say that they payed for the part of Karelia taken from the Finns.
And after Germany invaded Poland, what happened in the west was this period of many months called the strange war. Yeah, UK and France declared war against Germany but nothing happened. Which shows the true feelings the Brits and the French had about the situation. What tipped the balance was that Germany moved against Denmark, Norway, etc.
If Hitler would have moved east instead of west first, things would have been different, and we would have seen UK, France, etc, rubbing their hands to see Germany at Russia's throat again, killing each other. The way they rub their hands now seeing Ukrainians fighting against Russians.
Yes, the Russians could have rejected the Annex and not take over those territories. But that would have meant that it will be Germany taking them over and the fight that was bound to come would happen mostly on Russian territory...
So I put the blame on Bessarabia's second annexation entirely on the shoulders of German aggression and imperialism. Russia was reacting, as usual, and as now.
Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.
❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞
Moldova is a federal republic, Romania a unitary one and EU favors federalization. Romania is not happy about a union with Moldova as it will receive 2 autonomous regions and will have to grant autonomy to hungarian counties în Transilvania
While the vote to reunite with Romania won't be unanimous, it will have the qualified majority and will accept the union on Romania's terms. Also, Transnistria is a drag, should be dispensed with. "Gagauzia" was historically mostly run from Suceava or Iasi...and has less population than Transnistria.
I am journalist with a small news org back here in France and I was wondering if you could grant me the permission to translate in French and publish this article?
Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.
❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞
Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.
❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞
Confining the eradication of the Ukrainian military and denazifying to the current narrow band on the front is an exceptional war strategy. The Ukrainian troops and the international mercenaries attracted to the front pour in to meet their demise. The vast remainder of Ukraine remains mostly intact other than power stations and military bases. Instead of a frantic rush across the landscape flattening cities and slaughtering civilians the battle and destruction is confined until finally the Ukrainian army and its political leadership capitulate or are totally defeated.
It could take more years yet but the narrow band of destruction and the intact mass of the civilian population may yet be grateful for small mercies of not being slaughtered and mostly having their property and shelter. Time will tell.
The west has blundered badly here and it is being observed across the globe as a better world emerges and the western global bully proves their ineligibility to serve as a humane beacon for freedom or even a reliable, agreement capable ally. Right now this ignorant global bully is blathering about creating two wars against the two most powerful opponents on earth spanning a vast landmass. The China statement is correct in that the USA is evidently guilty of invading more countries, murdering more people, destroying more human progress that anything seen in the past century or two - and the rest of the world can see it.
What I understand about the military conflict in Ukraine and about the great offensive is, first of all, the total ignorance in the West about Russia's plans! And just this secrecy of the Russian MOD in the information age is in itself an almost unattainable feat . No army in the world can be so immune to information leaks! The truth is that I repeat, no one has the slightest idea what is going on in the minds of the highest Russian spheres. It is indeed with great sadness that I listened to Douglas McGregor for two months announce that Russia was just waiting for the ground to freeze to launch a major land offensive and now that the ground is already thawing, he has come up with the version that Russia just waiting for the putting together ammo?!
Simply ridiculous and unbelievable. And I don't say this to discredit McGregror but as a sign that he also never had access to any privileged information! And the analyzes he offers us about the conflict are just in his head. Which is no small thing if we think of the great troop commander he was. Dougas McGregor probably conveys what he would do in the theater of operations! But about the Russian operation is completely at zero. And I could say the same of everyone who comments on the conflict in the West! All mere opinions! Already the Russian strategic plan remains as impregnable today as on the 24th of February!
My opinion, on the other hand, of someone who knows much less about operational art than McGregor, remains the same as ever. There will be no major offensive because not even men have been mobilized for a major offensive in Ukraine! Just this! 300,000 men are mainly to defend the front line of more than a thousand kms! And any military man should know this! To stop new "counter offensives" like in Kharkov. That it wasn't a counter-offensive at all but just an intelligence coup by US satellites! And to this day nobody knows if it wasn't an invitation from Russia. Ukraine at the end of the operation lost thousands of men! A mobilization of 300,000 men is enough only to defend the front line of the 4 oblasts that Russia annexed! In other words, it is, for example, completely impossible to cross the Dnieper with just 300,000 men without breaking the front line from Kherson to Donbass. Russia entered Ukraine with no desire to wage war, to force Kiev into negotiations, and absolutely nothing changed. RUS even today wants above all to liberate what is left of Donbass and expel the existential threat of NATO from UKR.
I am completely convinced that if Ukraine signed these two points tomorrow the war would be over! Most likely with a lot of sad people on both sides of the barricades. But it's life! Another point in which I value a lot and that perhaps goes very unnoticed is how Ukraine, after 1 year of conflict, the only major terrorist act it managed to carry out was the murder of Dugina in Moscow! Because Russia has Ukraine completely controlled! In the same space of time, how many serious attacks did the "insurgents" carry out against the US in Iraq? Just so that we have an idea of the capacity that is needed to almost completely neutralize the enemy, no matter how weak he is. Only yesterday, Ukraine invented an attack on a Beriev A-50 parked in Biolerrusis without any evidence because even a simple drone can no longer reach the Russian forces! Which once again demonstrates an enemy control in my opinion never seen. Regardless of whether tomorrow it manages to burn some Russian infrastructure as it once was!
So I think that without negotiations what we will continue to see in Ukraine will never be much different from what we are seeing now! While Ukraine and its patrons were not willing to negotiate mainly the neutrality of Ukraine but now also the 4 oblasts conquered by Russia, the Russian forces will continue to demilitarize, denazify and conquer territory from Ukraine! Always with as few casualties as possible, which has also become one of Moscow's main goals. Don't lose men unnecessarily! Russia has all the time in the world on its side! Also in the economic war with the West! And due to the desperation with which Zelensky appeared today to summon the sons and daughters of Americans to war, perhaps the support of the Ukrainian forces is much closer to the limit than many think.
I've already convinced myself that we'll never know the true number of casualties in Ukraine and I'm even glad for that. Because I believe that after the WWII no country lost so many lives in such a short space of time and by choice. Which apparently is also coming to an end. Calling Americans to war is perhaps Zelensky's most dignified act since the beginning of the conflict. Even in response to beings as disgusting as Lindsey Grahams who talks about Ukrainian lives as if they were a totally disposable utensil. Unfortunately I also believe that Zelensky is only doing it now out of sheer desperation and with that he must have already signed his own death certificate. How sheer desperation is all the diversionary ploys like Transnistria to divert attention from the fall of Bakhmut where Ukraine has invested so much!
Great comment and analysis. I particularly appreciate your perspective on Col. MacGregor who I also respect but seems to be as lost in his analysis and predictions as everyone else in professional/public sphere.
Thanks. The big arrow that many dream of required 1 or 2 Million Russians in Ukraine which is bigger than Germany and France combined! 300,000 are needed to control a city like Kiev or any major European capital. This is why Ukrainian resistance has seemed strong. There were always very few Russian soldiers in Ukraine. Mobilization that according to the Russian Constitution demands a declaration of war from Kremlin. As the US Constitution also requires for everything Biden is doing in Ukraine. Nothing that Washington has not already done in the past in the great "American Democracy"! Contrary to the Kremlin's untouchable legalism! Mobilization that if it didn't happen until today, it's not going to happen now with the AFU crumble. No matter how many mercenaries and Poles they continue to send to die on the battlefield! Russia will continue at the same pace and analyze every day the various parameters of the war in Ukraine and on the international stage with its strategic partners. Russia is not only demilitarizing Ukraine but NATO. And destroying the EU!
Even today that imbecile Borrell with Alzheimer's has already come to say that it is impossible for the EU not to buy Russian oil. Because he completely deregulated the market, he says?! The market is all motor vehicles in the EU. That is, the entire economy! Only hypocritical vassals and liars! Only yesterday Eurostat reported a sharp increase in the number of bankruptcies of European companies. Heavy industry has already shut down in Germany and moved to China and the US! Even the biggest chemical company in the world, BASF! Only the Russian air force could really speed up the Russian operation more, but I'm also starting to think that even today it only flies practically in Russian territory and Biolerrussia from where it launches most of the attacks.... Along with the missiles of the Black Sea.
Only the Russian air force (VVS/VKS) could really speed up the Russian operation more, but I'm also starting to think that even today it practically only flies in Russian territory and in Biolerrussia from where it launches most of the attacks.... Along with the Black Sea missiles that replace planes. And this anemic activity by the VVS in Ukraine, where Russia never achieved full or necessary air supremacy, also surprised the West, which took the opportunity to launch a propaganda offensive about the real causes for the poor performance of the VVS in Ukraine. Like Russia had few trained pilots and few Russian planes were launching guided munitions that were also ending like Russian missiles in general that should have ended in March 2022 according to MI6. All this hilarious propaganda denied in the theater of operations in Syria since 2015 where the VVS was always predominant. Which only leaves another possibility: Ukraine's SAMs and the new Western SAMs that Russia never managed to destroy!
Because the one area where Western aid has been effective is providing real-time intelligence so Ukraine doesn't have to turn on its radars. And with the radars turned off, it is not possible to locate the air defenses. The other way was to destroy the AFU's internet access on the battlefield, which Russia also never achieved due to help from nations like the US. And as Russia never managed to destroy Ukraine's air defenses, it makes this theater of operations completely different from Syria or Iraq for the US! And without the detection of Ukrainian radars, nothing will ever go away, we will never see many fixed wings in the Ukrainian sky.
And the truth is that locations like Ugledar in the open field and the mobile Ukrainian logistics trains that transport weapons from the West to Ukraine should be a mission for Russian bombers there! But Russia is fighting the whole rich world! And if VVS fears SAMs as is perfectly normal. Now imagine the Ukrainian aviation and the F-16 under the threat of the even more evolved Russian air defense systems like the S-400 SAMs! After the Ukrainian Air Force, infrastructure including airfields, which was almost completely eliminated on the ground in the first 48 hours of SMO! Almost entirely also with long-distance launched cruise missiles.
And the only chance of overcoming the US intelligence in real time that allows Ukraine to only turn on its radars when the Russian missile is arriving and look at the ridiculous success rate of the Ukrainian air defense, which, in order not to turn on the radars, puts soldiers firing small arms into the sky?! But I was saying that only huge swarms of drones acting as decoys will force Ukraine to turn on its radars. Again and again, which requires a mountain of these types of cheap drones that take the place of the western HARM anti-radiation missile - widely used in Serbia in 1991 - much more expensive!
Russia entered this conflict with a handicap in terms of some types of drones because they had never been so important in any conflict until Ukraine and it is not easy to overcome a handicap in wartime. And the one area where Western help has been effective is in providing real-time intelligence so Ukraine doesn't need to turn on its radars. And with the radars turned off, it is not possible to locate the air defenses. That or destroy the Internet access that Ukraine also never lost either thanks to the US. Only with the production level of drone swarms in China! But the wreckage of the drones is quickly visible on the ground. I don't know if this matters to China today. But once again we are not talking about a game changer but an accelerator! Russia doesn't need game changers!
p.s. Many modern military doctrines say that to occupy a country you need 20 soldiers per thousand inhabitants. But occupying is not taking. Where at least a ratio of 3 or 4 : 1 soldiers is needed. And still yesterday CNN released citing its sources at the General Staff of Ukraine, reports that on February 28, 2023, the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine amounted to: 259,085 people killed, Died from injuries, illnesses! Wounded, crippled: 246,904; deserted, as well as missing - 83,952; captured - 28 393.
Over 500,000 casualties which should have been "work" for at least 1,500,000 Russian soldiers taking into account the need for the usual 3 to 1 attacking ratio performed by less than 150,000 russian soldiers on the front line! In other words, Russia conquered 20% of Ukraine with an inverted ratio of 1 Russian soldier for every 3 Ukrainian casualties in a defensive line supported by the entire West. It gives a good idea of the mastery of Russian operational art! And according CNN that is the official CIA television for conflicts.
And even from this CNN report, what we can already conclude from this conflict is that there has never been a continental land defense like the Russian Army since WWII! Where artillery remains the Queen! No matter waht all the defense lines in depth that NATO engineers built for 8 years in Ukraine to kill Russians. The US that stole the British Imperialist DNA and likes to brag about having the greatest military force on earth (?!) is above all a great naval and aerospace force to project forces quickly according to its DNA! Because a nation's defense forces always reflect its DNA!
What had never happened before was a modern war with the intensity of this conflict, where the primordial role of drones has already been proven. Whom we can even call the King in this war. And Russia uses a lot of drones in multitasking like surveillance and even making their artillery more accurate. But failed to project the need for drones also to destroy SMSs deployed in Ukraine! Because there has never been a war experience like this!
Nazi Germany, for example, was occupied with 80 Allied soldiers to 1000 Germans! And for Operation Barbarossa Hitler advanced with almost 4 000 000 soldiers - from almost every country in Europe which is always omitted by history - 4K planes, 4K tanks, etc, etc and failed! For some reason the impressive Nazi war machine and namely the Wermarcht continues to inspire the US Army to this day. Which may seem strange not to like the metier so much and after all Germany lost the war but it's just the purest truth. And don't be fooled, the military world had never seen a maneuver like the Nazi Blitzkrieg, a term still used today. And the US had never had true military doctrine. The problem is that 90% of what German Generals reported to their US Army jailers about major operations on the Eastern Front was lies. Probably the German generals never reported the number of Nazi officers who went straight from the Front to asylums because they never anticipated the Red Army's manoeuvre! As we can still see today in the various front hypotheses that Gerassimov opens up! Typical of Prussian officers. Even today we read some books and think they won WWII!
One of the American Nazi prisoners wrote a book right after the war, probably a Hollywood screenwriter, to try to humiliate the army that annihilated Nazi Germany?! Because despite so many D-Day movies the war was decided on the Eastern front for where Hitler transferred 50% of the Western front! And the same Nazi officer wrote a book in the late 1950s! Which starts the same way. It was Hitler's fault that he didn't let us be officers! The man he treated like a god for 10 or 20 years!? And then he talks a lot about psychological warfare and radios on the eastern front. Where it says that it reached a stage where the Red Army was won the war only with communications without firing a shot. When a German heard the breathing of a Russian on the radio and realized that he was being listened to, it was enough to blow his own fuses and in 24 hours he appeared hanging from a tree!
Because the Russians heavily used communications to scramble and break the Nazis. Announcing false positions and offensives broke the nerves of the Germans who never knew where the Red Army was! And it also says that the problem after kursk - where even Hitler must have realized he lost the war - was also the massive casualties. With whole divisions that disappeared in a few hours. And he mentions that the problem was not the casualties themselves which the officers are prepared but the impossibility of properly training the reserves, never adapting to what they already knew about the maneuver of the Red Army. That they sent reconnaissance parties just as a diversion. And the orders from the Germans officers were never to kill these groups. But the nervous reservations could never resist. Which only made the situation worse because now they knew that they weren't being taken prisoner either. And from then on it was like watching them shoot at trees and fire friendky in the fog of war. In short, the war on the eastern front after the great battles of Stalingrad and Kursk was always very psychological.
What is still part of the DNA of Russian operational art today! Now with reserves strategically placed in the south, east and north, 3 fronts to burn the nerves of Ukrainians. And the resources! And the same with the Kherson beachhead that could turn to both Odessa and Kiev where it trapped the necessary AFU troops in the east and where it burned thousands of AFU troops for months until reinforcements from the new mobilization began to arrive and they found it expedient to retreat. Which the West portrays as a major setback!? And the world will never read the Russian General Staff bragging about the greatest feats in 20 years! Because it has a great intergenerational commitment. With WWII grandparents and grandchildren! It is no coincidence that the Immortal Regiment marches on the Day of Victory over Nazi Germany, where 27 Milions died. It's a completely different war culture. But the West also thinks that Russia has no right to worry about existential threats. After having been invaded and repelled all the great armies!
Which just proves that not even the US self-proclaimed greatest military force in the world can stand up to Russia on its border! And vice versa is also true! If they defeated the Nazis with millions of men and thousands of planes, imagine today with modern Russian SAMs! And how did the US get its military assets to Europe at war today with hypersonic missiles from Russia? What only proves is that this war was not provoked to defeat Russia but to wear down and overthrow Putin. Disconnecting the EU from Russia and by plundering Russia's natural resources control Eurasia.
Like the provocations around China in Asia Pacific! And Putin is not Russia either. A caricature created by the old Russophobic US propaganda so as not to call 150 million Russians what they call Putin every day! What the US doesn't realize is that if for some reason Putin were overthrown they might still have to face a leader of Russia 100 times less friendly to the West. Putin is the most pro-Western Kremlin leader ever except probably Gorbachev and CIA puppet Yeltsin! Putin was always a Germanophile contrary to what anti-Putin propaganda says today.
This represents a particular political viewpoint, as opposed to posing an actual question about a well-defined situation. I'm not rejecting it from consideration, but it does not establish the presumption contained in the title-question.
"Presumes facts not found in evidence", as a lawyer would say.
There is a lot of criminality in partisan politics. You point some out. People are often misled politically, and their wealth and freedoms taken away. We are all noticing this.
There are a lot of bad actors, representing hidden power elites. "Mariupol is our Masada" is a plea for funding. Elites fund what they see as serving their "interests", power and finance.
I seek principled actions of resistance, which I can try out, and maybe write about. Surviving the coming crisis, and keeping eyes open are important.
Protocols of Zion: Protocol VIII – Provisional Government
We shall surround our government with a whole world of economists. That is the reason why economic sciences form the principal subject of the teaching given to the jews. Around us again will be a whole constellation of bankers, industrialists, capitalists and – the main thing – millionaires, because in substance everything will be settled by the question of figures.
From reading sources on the Russian side (Orlov, The Saker, etc.) I get the view that the Russians are content with how the war is going, their KIA aside. Two points they make - the goal is to "deNazify" and demilitarize Ukraine; and they won't trade soldiers for land.
Land can be retaken, soldiers cannot be raised from the dead. Remember, the Russians have fought here before. When pressed too hard, they pull back, like WWII, just like the Mongols "feigned flight" tactic but without the intent. The AFU rushes after them and gets blown to the proverbial smithereens by AFR artillery. The initial goal was to liberate the regions that wanted join Russia, but NATO's continued belligerence will probably result in the elimination of Ukraine altogether. We shall see. No plan survives contact with the enemy.
The demilitarization is ongoing. There is a reason Bakhmut is called "the meat grinder". There is video on Telegram of Ukrainian officers talking about how they are losing 1-2 companies a day, a battalion a week. The Russian offensive hasn't stalled. They are holding their ground advancing slowly via Wagner PMC, and killing Ukies. That's their style. They're in no hurry. The AFU keeeps sending in replacements, and AFR and Wagner keep killing them. The land will always be there, the soldiers won't.
One note about tactics/strategy - Ukraine/NATO had 8 years to prepare and what did they do? They dug trenches! How WWI. The Russians also borrowed from WWI, but they chose massive artillery forces. Trenches are worthless against drone guided artillery and even drones dropping grenades. I'm sure the weapons and tech advantage will determine the outcome.
Several other Russian sources (obviously biased but more objective than western media IMO) on Telegram - Intel Slava Z; AZgeopolitics; Ghost of ZVO. Lots of video from the front. Some just PR, but a lot of the reality of war. Another good source is Gonzalo Lira, Twitter and Youtube. Chilean journalist married to Ukranian, living in Kharkov.
There is a fair amount of frustration visible in the Russian language telegrams. But the more mature observers aren't dumb, they understand the forces in play here. Russia here, on some level, is forced to drag this out because they simultaneously play a part here in the conflict of US vs China. The latter ultimately profits from the pitiable weakening of EU, which is probably the most major geopolicical result so far of all the carnage. So far.
In the long run tho, the common objective is to defang the tools of US hegemony. And if the Blinken's of the world spend themselves on a proxy war in Ukraine, teaching a useful lesson to Taipei along the way, then the Chinese of course won't object. As long as the end state goes their way. And it's actually a remarkably cheap way for Beijing to arrange that outcome -- supply Russia with industrial goods, cash in on the market share spoils from EU's self destruction to pay for it. And otherwise just sit back and watch.
On the other hand if you have family from the area, even if no longer there, the level of carnage is genuinely alarming. So it goes, says Vonnegut.
The United States government is a wholly owned subsidiary of the American Israeli Political Action Committe . . . Who's the Treasury Secretary?
Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC) is acquiring Silicon Valley Bank’s U.K. arm . . . HSBC got caught laundering drug cartel money, former FBI director James Comey was on their board of directors . . . Former US Attorney General Loretta Lynch let HSBC off the hook for a small fine . . . I'll bet you didn't they manufacture fentanyl in Ukraine like they do in China.
Sodom Hussein Obama was just an organ grinder's monkey for the Mossad . . . The Israelis have been spying on the USA and selling secrets to China.
Thank you for your outstanding contribution. You, along with a few others, are educating me in ways I never thought I would be nor need to be educated which is in military matters. I find I have to reread your articles to get a glimmer of understanding but what I get gives me a far broader perspective from that upon which I started.
The totally brainless loss of life that this engineered conflict has inflicted upon humanity saddens me and I truly hope those who pushed the antagonists into this position suffer personally for the rest of their lives. They deserve that concept called karma now. Maybe then, Nuland and Sullivan will experience that fear that you understandably regard them as being incapable of.
"Conscripts cannot be deployed in combat outside of Russia without a declaration of war."
Most of the combat takes place in the four Oblasts which Russia formally annexed last Autumn. According to Russia's laws those are now inside Russian Federation.
Dear Serge Best to keep to long posts like this one, in my opinion, or even longer if you wish, history is best written or documented as it unfolds especially in this near unique case of propoganda and mis information easier by far to sense, recognise and attribute reasons for and shades of significance to at the time than subsequently - this war which is but a preparation for the next in ways which are are becoming more obvious and meaningful, one in which the propoganda may be more successful in obscuring any/all information and insight
“The Braudelian conception of time is fundamental to the student of war because it allows him to inscribe his vision as well as his theoretical reflection over the long duration, that which helps to access the time of war. The latter is opposed to the Man of the 21st century, a man in a hurry whose mental and temporal horizon is subject to the diktat of the instantaneousness of journalistic analyses, mass media and social networks” (Olivier Entraygues, Regards sur la guerre: l’école de la défaite [A Look at the War: The School of Defeat])
Helps explain the curiously large effort Russia has put into digging fortified lines behind the front ... recreating the army is going to take some time, and is best left undisturbed by crises at the front.
And unrelated, from my own slender reading of military history, I concluded years ago that wars always begin with an optimism of quick victory, but that never happens. Nobody is ever home by Christmas.
But I threw all that out the window for this war. Men believe what they wish, I'm told Julius Ceasar said that, and it's true.
Alexei Mozgovoy was such a man, perhaps beyond the understanding of most ... "We Russians, Ukrainians, Belarusians are bequeathed to be together. And the fact that today we are mad and hate each other is the main indictment against us—we have violated this covenant..."
Like many in the world I was waiting for the Russian hammer to drop, to deliver a Fichtean Anstoss or "check" to the depredations of the Hegemon, indeed to see it shrivel away from the conflict like a snail from salt. In a sense the hammer has dropped as this essay makes clear, in the countless "small" actions Ukraine is forced to carry on with (given the glare of publicity in front of its western backers), and doing so at a terrible cost. Meanwhile the Russians will perfect their operational art of war.
The essay does not deal with the end of this war but it will be a Russian victory of one kind or another, all of them decisive in my view, and that is when the shoe at least will drop for "NATO." On a visceral level I anticipate with great pleasure finally escaping the daily nausea of having to unwillingly imbibe the ceaseless propaganda from MSM, and to imagine the denizens in their "international community" (U.S. and client states--some 1/5 of the planet's population) looking up from their troughs wondering why the rich and heady daily fare has become a thin gruel of discontent and wan exculpation: why silent now the trumpets and drumbeats of war? Whereto our Great Cause? One can only hope this may obvert their understandings of the shadowplay on the wall as they are turned to face the light and realize that war is not peace, slavery is not freedom, ignorance is not strength etc. Bless you Eric Blair you saw it all coming. May all proles discover the liberation of apostasy.
But above all the final shattering of the NATO burlesque will give a blast of fresh air to the majority of the planet. We who have been watching a drunken bully beating up midgets on the dance floor for decades (Vietnam, Panama, Grenada, Afghanistan,Iraq, Serbia, Syria et.al.), can now watch with justifiable schadenfreude, the aerated hubris of a tyrant rapidly deflated as the wheel of karma turns and he ends up in a real cage fight against the likes of an Emelianenko as opposed to Butterbean... in Ukraine, or--goddess help us--globally.
The neocons and their reptilian ilk got the war they craved but are clearly not popping the champagne in Washington just now as they finally discern the inevitable creeping closer every day. "Be careful what you wish for" as the trope goes.
This is easily the best source on this war. In the US, there is very little unbiased news. I look forward to each new Big Serge article.
Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.
❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/
"Because Ukraine relies on foreign assistance to continue its war, it must constantly be in a performative mode and under pressure to deliver visible successes."
Ukraine reminds me of a business with less-than-entirely-honest managers who personally profit by engineering quarterly results to please Wall Street. The venture began as hyped vaporware with no revenues but lots of buzz and deep-pocketed backing. It’s likely to end as a no-longer-popular brand loaded with debt, asset-stripped, and sold off after massive layoffs. It never had to be sustainable. Insiders just have to know when to get out to walk away rich.
By contrast Russia resembles a business in it for the long haul. It’s making risky, costly investments that nonetheless have a chance to pay off over time. It’s neither out for a quick buck nor dependent on financial gimmickry or nonsensical advertising. Even in a cutthroat market it’s getting a job done. Its competitors once knew how to build things, but that was when "stock" referred to industrial output rather than pieces of paper. After decades of farming out labor to offshore proxies they've forgotten how to develop products themselves, and rather than learn those skills again, they do everything they can think of to wreck the competition.
An inexact analogy, but evocative.
Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.
❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/
Great insightful analysis. The level of detail and objective thought is appreciated.
Crystal clear as usual.
The explanation about the stalled Russian offensive made much more practical sense than holding back in case NATO joins the fray, which sounds ridiculous as soon as it is uttered out loud or put on writing.
As for poor Moldova, some more details:
1. After one of the many wars between Ottomans (who were controlling the Principality of Moldova and Wallachia at that time), the Ottomans lost and in the horse trading that happened before finalizing a peace treaty, Russia started by asking the entire principality of Moldova. However, this was just before the Napoleonic invasion of Russia and the Russians were in a hurry to get the paperwork done. The Ottomans did not know about this threat and their dragoman charged with concluding the treaty (a Greek) was bought by the Russians. However, in the end Russians relented only with the eastern half of principality of Moldova, what was known as Bessarabia. The southern part of Bessarabia, Budjeak, on the coast of Black Sea is now part of the Odessa Oblast and through time, between 1812 and 1917 changed hands several times with Moldova and then with the United Romanian Principalities (then Kingdom of Romania). The Greek Dragoman was subsequently beheaded...
1. During the Russian Revolution, due to the collapse of the Russian Army, Romanian troops entered Bassarabia and ultimately, the region voted to re-unite with Romania.
3. After WWI and the victory of the Bolsheviks, a phantom RSS Moldova was set-up in present day Transnistria, on the eastern side of Dnister River. That area was never under Moldovan/Romanian control.
4. After WWII, Russians took back Bessarabia, and probably as interest payment also grabbed Northern Bukovina from Romania, which is now in Ukraine. Subsequently, Romania also "donated" the Snake Island to USSR.
Romanian language has a Daco-Thracian substrate, a Latin main component, and a Slavic ad-stratum. The fact that there is a Slavic component in Moldovan and likely overall Romanian genetic make up shouldn't surprise anyone. There was a cohabitation for some time until the Slavs decided to cross the Danube and then moved in Byzantine territories. So one cannot make that much hay out of that.
Also, there is a very easy solution for Moldova, which can renounce to Transnistria and re-unite with Romania, thus gaining immediate access to NATO and EU, and the whole thing of Moldovan Neutrality is bypassed without a problem and there will be none to join Russian protests. The only smart thing for Russian Government would be to issue a congratulatory note as well as an apology. The way the US is keeping North and South Korea separated, this is how Russia kept Romania separated after 1990 (albeit with far less interference, admittedly Transnistria secession was very likely a locally driven affair).
The question is what if Romania and Moldova decide to re-unite without renouncing to Transnistria... all the while guaranteeing the rights of minorities for local (that means villages, towns, cities, not areas) autonomy and everything else Hungarian minority has in Romania....
On a side note, Ukraine tried to set up a coup in Belarus some years ago, prior to the invasion, trying to blame Russia for it (some mercenaries on their way to an African country transiting through Minsk)...
Can't believe you didn't mention the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact and the secret agreement. Last time I was in Chisinau there was a large display in the main square giving a full account of the background to Bessarabia's annexation in 1939.
You have to understand the context a bit here, the facts and various actions that led to it and the consequences of the pact.
The resurgent Germany was regarded with certain admiration by the west. The first test for the west in respect to its ideological bend was the Spanish Civil War which pitted the republican government against the monarchists. The west preferred to let Spain fall in the hands of Franco's fascism than to have a Spanish republic with some more egalitarian hues, all the while witnessing Germany's support.
Then came Austrian invasion and Czechoslovakian partition. only the Russians offered to send troops to support the Czechs, but Poland would not allow such a transit through their territory. The Soviets wanted to enter in a treaty with the British and the French and the Poles against the Germans, but they were delayed and refused. As such, the last solution for Russia was to enter in a Treaty of Non Aggression with the Germans, in order to buy time.
The Germans have orchestrated very well this, and had many ulterior motives behind all that secret Annex. The Annex gave the Russians the impression that they are buying peace and even getting something in return, like parts of Poland, parts of Romania, liberty to engage against the Fins without German interference.
But the German leadership always knew that the ultimate goal was taking over the European part of Russia. So by sacrificing certain countries now (secretly, with the blame falling entirely on the Soviets), they would have allies in the future. Let us not forget the Vienna Diktat, which happened prior to the Molotov-Ribbentrop Treaty, and through which the Germans have bought Hungarian allegiance with Romanian territory...
The Finns were of big help in the siege of Leningrad, for about 900 days, during which almost one million of civilians died of hunger and disease. I say that they payed for the part of Karelia taken from the Finns.
And after Germany invaded Poland, what happened in the west was this period of many months called the strange war. Yeah, UK and France declared war against Germany but nothing happened. Which shows the true feelings the Brits and the French had about the situation. What tipped the balance was that Germany moved against Denmark, Norway, etc.
If Hitler would have moved east instead of west first, things would have been different, and we would have seen UK, France, etc, rubbing their hands to see Germany at Russia's throat again, killing each other. The way they rub their hands now seeing Ukrainians fighting against Russians.
Yes, the Russians could have rejected the Annex and not take over those territories. But that would have meant that it will be Germany taking them over and the fight that was bound to come would happen mostly on Russian territory...
So I put the blame on Bessarabia's second annexation entirely on the shoulders of German aggression and imperialism. Russia was reacting, as usual, and as now.
Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.
❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/
Very interesting and sounds plausible. Have never heard or read that analysis by Western historians so it's a lot to take in.
Excellent added background! Thanks.
Great
Moldova is a federal republic, Romania a unitary one and EU favors federalization. Romania is not happy about a union with Moldova as it will receive 2 autonomous regions and will have to grant autonomy to hungarian counties în Transilvania
While the vote to reunite with Romania won't be unanimous, it will have the qualified majority and will accept the union on Romania's terms. Also, Transnistria is a drag, should be dispensed with. "Gagauzia" was historically mostly run from Suceava or Iasi...and has less population than Transnistria.
Dear Big Serge.
Thanks your brilliant novella.
I am journalist with a small news org back here in France and I was wondering if you could grant me the permission to translate in French and publish this article?
Sincerely,
Pascal Clérotte
https://eclaireur.substack.com/
Yes you may translate and publish with accreditation, thank your for asking.
Of course. You're the author. And a link to your substack.
Thank you so much for your pemission.
In that case, may I add you directly as a contributor in substack?
Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.
❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/
Jewish Corruption in Ukraine . . . by Andrew Joyce, Ph.D.
❝. . . the present conflict is a huge distraction from the fact that, for decades, the biggest threat to Ukraine hasn’t been Russia, but financiers and speculators operating with impunity within Ukraine’s borders to exploit ethnic Ukrainians and plunder their resources.❞
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2023/02/17/jewish-corruption-in-ukraine/
Confining the eradication of the Ukrainian military and denazifying to the current narrow band on the front is an exceptional war strategy. The Ukrainian troops and the international mercenaries attracted to the front pour in to meet their demise. The vast remainder of Ukraine remains mostly intact other than power stations and military bases. Instead of a frantic rush across the landscape flattening cities and slaughtering civilians the battle and destruction is confined until finally the Ukrainian army and its political leadership capitulate or are totally defeated.
It could take more years yet but the narrow band of destruction and the intact mass of the civilian population may yet be grateful for small mercies of not being slaughtered and mostly having their property and shelter. Time will tell.
The west has blundered badly here and it is being observed across the globe as a better world emerges and the western global bully proves their ineligibility to serve as a humane beacon for freedom or even a reliable, agreement capable ally. Right now this ignorant global bully is blathering about creating two wars against the two most powerful opponents on earth spanning a vast landmass. The China statement is correct in that the USA is evidently guilty of invading more countries, murdering more people, destroying more human progress that anything seen in the past century or two - and the rest of the world can see it.
What I understand about the military conflict in Ukraine and about the great offensive is, first of all, the total ignorance in the West about Russia's plans! And just this secrecy of the Russian MOD in the information age is in itself an almost unattainable feat . No army in the world can be so immune to information leaks! The truth is that I repeat, no one has the slightest idea what is going on in the minds of the highest Russian spheres. It is indeed with great sadness that I listened to Douglas McGregor for two months announce that Russia was just waiting for the ground to freeze to launch a major land offensive and now that the ground is already thawing, he has come up with the version that Russia just waiting for the putting together ammo?!
Simply ridiculous and unbelievable. And I don't say this to discredit McGregror but as a sign that he also never had access to any privileged information! And the analyzes he offers us about the conflict are just in his head. Which is no small thing if we think of the great troop commander he was. Dougas McGregor probably conveys what he would do in the theater of operations! But about the Russian operation is completely at zero. And I could say the same of everyone who comments on the conflict in the West! All mere opinions! Already the Russian strategic plan remains as impregnable today as on the 24th of February!
My opinion, on the other hand, of someone who knows much less about operational art than McGregor, remains the same as ever. There will be no major offensive because not even men have been mobilized for a major offensive in Ukraine! Just this! 300,000 men are mainly to defend the front line of more than a thousand kms! And any military man should know this! To stop new "counter offensives" like in Kharkov. That it wasn't a counter-offensive at all but just an intelligence coup by US satellites! And to this day nobody knows if it wasn't an invitation from Russia. Ukraine at the end of the operation lost thousands of men! A mobilization of 300,000 men is enough only to defend the front line of the 4 oblasts that Russia annexed! In other words, it is, for example, completely impossible to cross the Dnieper with just 300,000 men without breaking the front line from Kherson to Donbass. Russia entered Ukraine with no desire to wage war, to force Kiev into negotiations, and absolutely nothing changed. RUS even today wants above all to liberate what is left of Donbass and expel the existential threat of NATO from UKR.
I am completely convinced that if Ukraine signed these two points tomorrow the war would be over! Most likely with a lot of sad people on both sides of the barricades. But it's life! Another point in which I value a lot and that perhaps goes very unnoticed is how Ukraine, after 1 year of conflict, the only major terrorist act it managed to carry out was the murder of Dugina in Moscow! Because Russia has Ukraine completely controlled! In the same space of time, how many serious attacks did the "insurgents" carry out against the US in Iraq? Just so that we have an idea of the capacity that is needed to almost completely neutralize the enemy, no matter how weak he is. Only yesterday, Ukraine invented an attack on a Beriev A-50 parked in Biolerrusis without any evidence because even a simple drone can no longer reach the Russian forces! Which once again demonstrates an enemy control in my opinion never seen. Regardless of whether tomorrow it manages to burn some Russian infrastructure as it once was!
So I think that without negotiations what we will continue to see in Ukraine will never be much different from what we are seeing now! While Ukraine and its patrons were not willing to negotiate mainly the neutrality of Ukraine but now also the 4 oblasts conquered by Russia, the Russian forces will continue to demilitarize, denazify and conquer territory from Ukraine! Always with as few casualties as possible, which has also become one of Moscow's main goals. Don't lose men unnecessarily! Russia has all the time in the world on its side! Also in the economic war with the West! And due to the desperation with which Zelensky appeared today to summon the sons and daughters of Americans to war, perhaps the support of the Ukrainian forces is much closer to the limit than many think.
I've already convinced myself that we'll never know the true number of casualties in Ukraine and I'm even glad for that. Because I believe that after the WWII no country lost so many lives in such a short space of time and by choice. Which apparently is also coming to an end. Calling Americans to war is perhaps Zelensky's most dignified act since the beginning of the conflict. Even in response to beings as disgusting as Lindsey Grahams who talks about Ukrainian lives as if they were a totally disposable utensil. Unfortunately I also believe that Zelensky is only doing it now out of sheer desperation and with that he must have already signed his own death certificate. How sheer desperation is all the diversionary ploys like Transnistria to divert attention from the fall of Bakhmut where Ukraine has invested so much!
Great comment and analysis. I particularly appreciate your perspective on Col. MacGregor who I also respect but seems to be as lost in his analysis and predictions as everyone else in professional/public sphere.
Thanks. The big arrow that many dream of required 1 or 2 Million Russians in Ukraine which is bigger than Germany and France combined! 300,000 are needed to control a city like Kiev or any major European capital. This is why Ukrainian resistance has seemed strong. There were always very few Russian soldiers in Ukraine. Mobilization that according to the Russian Constitution demands a declaration of war from Kremlin. As the US Constitution also requires for everything Biden is doing in Ukraine. Nothing that Washington has not already done in the past in the great "American Democracy"! Contrary to the Kremlin's untouchable legalism! Mobilization that if it didn't happen until today, it's not going to happen now with the AFU crumble. No matter how many mercenaries and Poles they continue to send to die on the battlefield! Russia will continue at the same pace and analyze every day the various parameters of the war in Ukraine and on the international stage with its strategic partners. Russia is not only demilitarizing Ukraine but NATO. And destroying the EU!
Even today that imbecile Borrell with Alzheimer's has already come to say that it is impossible for the EU not to buy Russian oil. Because he completely deregulated the market, he says?! The market is all motor vehicles in the EU. That is, the entire economy! Only hypocritical vassals and liars! Only yesterday Eurostat reported a sharp increase in the number of bankruptcies of European companies. Heavy industry has already shut down in Germany and moved to China and the US! Even the biggest chemical company in the world, BASF! Only the Russian air force could really speed up the Russian operation more, but I'm also starting to think that even today it only flies practically in Russian territory and Biolerrussia from where it launches most of the attacks.... Along with the missiles of the Black Sea.
Only the Russian air force (VVS/VKS) could really speed up the Russian operation more, but I'm also starting to think that even today it practically only flies in Russian territory and in Biolerrussia from where it launches most of the attacks.... Along with the Black Sea missiles that replace planes. And this anemic activity by the VVS in Ukraine, where Russia never achieved full or necessary air supremacy, also surprised the West, which took the opportunity to launch a propaganda offensive about the real causes for the poor performance of the VVS in Ukraine. Like Russia had few trained pilots and few Russian planes were launching guided munitions that were also ending like Russian missiles in general that should have ended in March 2022 according to MI6. All this hilarious propaganda denied in the theater of operations in Syria since 2015 where the VVS was always predominant. Which only leaves another possibility: Ukraine's SAMs and the new Western SAMs that Russia never managed to destroy!
Because the one area where Western aid has been effective is providing real-time intelligence so Ukraine doesn't have to turn on its radars. And with the radars turned off, it is not possible to locate the air defenses. The other way was to destroy the AFU's internet access on the battlefield, which Russia also never achieved due to help from nations like the US. And as Russia never managed to destroy Ukraine's air defenses, it makes this theater of operations completely different from Syria or Iraq for the US! And without the detection of Ukrainian radars, nothing will ever go away, we will never see many fixed wings in the Ukrainian sky.
And the truth is that locations like Ugledar in the open field and the mobile Ukrainian logistics trains that transport weapons from the West to Ukraine should be a mission for Russian bombers there! But Russia is fighting the whole rich world! And if VVS fears SAMs as is perfectly normal. Now imagine the Ukrainian aviation and the F-16 under the threat of the even more evolved Russian air defense systems like the S-400 SAMs! After the Ukrainian Air Force, infrastructure including airfields, which was almost completely eliminated on the ground in the first 48 hours of SMO! Almost entirely also with long-distance launched cruise missiles.
And the only chance of overcoming the US intelligence in real time that allows Ukraine to only turn on its radars when the Russian missile is arriving and look at the ridiculous success rate of the Ukrainian air defense, which, in order not to turn on the radars, puts soldiers firing small arms into the sky?! But I was saying that only huge swarms of drones acting as decoys will force Ukraine to turn on its radars. Again and again, which requires a mountain of these types of cheap drones that take the place of the western HARM anti-radiation missile - widely used in Serbia in 1991 - much more expensive!
Russia entered this conflict with a handicap in terms of some types of drones because they had never been so important in any conflict until Ukraine and it is not easy to overcome a handicap in wartime. And the one area where Western help has been effective is in providing real-time intelligence so Ukraine doesn't need to turn on its radars. And with the radars turned off, it is not possible to locate the air defenses. That or destroy the Internet access that Ukraine also never lost either thanks to the US. Only with the production level of drone swarms in China! But the wreckage of the drones is quickly visible on the ground. I don't know if this matters to China today. But once again we are not talking about a game changer but an accelerator! Russia doesn't need game changers!
p.s. Many modern military doctrines say that to occupy a country you need 20 soldiers per thousand inhabitants. But occupying is not taking. Where at least a ratio of 3 or 4 : 1 soldiers is needed. And still yesterday CNN released citing its sources at the General Staff of Ukraine, reports that on February 28, 2023, the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine amounted to: 259,085 people killed, Died from injuries, illnesses! Wounded, crippled: 246,904; deserted, as well as missing - 83,952; captured - 28 393.
Over 500,000 casualties which should have been "work" for at least 1,500,000 Russian soldiers taking into account the need for the usual 3 to 1 attacking ratio performed by less than 150,000 russian soldiers on the front line! In other words, Russia conquered 20% of Ukraine with an inverted ratio of 1 Russian soldier for every 3 Ukrainian casualties in a defensive line supported by the entire West. It gives a good idea of the mastery of Russian operational art! And according CNN that is the official CIA television for conflicts.
And even from this CNN report, what we can already conclude from this conflict is that there has never been a continental land defense like the Russian Army since WWII! Where artillery remains the Queen! No matter waht all the defense lines in depth that NATO engineers built for 8 years in Ukraine to kill Russians. The US that stole the British Imperialist DNA and likes to brag about having the greatest military force on earth (?!) is above all a great naval and aerospace force to project forces quickly according to its DNA! Because a nation's defense forces always reflect its DNA!
What had never happened before was a modern war with the intensity of this conflict, where the primordial role of drones has already been proven. Whom we can even call the King in this war. And Russia uses a lot of drones in multitasking like surveillance and even making their artillery more accurate. But failed to project the need for drones also to destroy SMSs deployed in Ukraine! Because there has never been a war experience like this!
Nazi Germany, for example, was occupied with 80 Allied soldiers to 1000 Germans! And for Operation Barbarossa Hitler advanced with almost 4 000 000 soldiers - from almost every country in Europe which is always omitted by history - 4K planes, 4K tanks, etc, etc and failed! For some reason the impressive Nazi war machine and namely the Wermarcht continues to inspire the US Army to this day. Which may seem strange not to like the metier so much and after all Germany lost the war but it's just the purest truth. And don't be fooled, the military world had never seen a maneuver like the Nazi Blitzkrieg, a term still used today. And the US had never had true military doctrine. The problem is that 90% of what German Generals reported to their US Army jailers about major operations on the Eastern Front was lies. Probably the German generals never reported the number of Nazi officers who went straight from the Front to asylums because they never anticipated the Red Army's manoeuvre! As we can still see today in the various front hypotheses that Gerassimov opens up! Typical of Prussian officers. Even today we read some books and think they won WWII!
One of the American Nazi prisoners wrote a book right after the war, probably a Hollywood screenwriter, to try to humiliate the army that annihilated Nazi Germany?! Because despite so many D-Day movies the war was decided on the Eastern front for where Hitler transferred 50% of the Western front! And the same Nazi officer wrote a book in the late 1950s! Which starts the same way. It was Hitler's fault that he didn't let us be officers! The man he treated like a god for 10 or 20 years!? And then he talks a lot about psychological warfare and radios on the eastern front. Where it says that it reached a stage where the Red Army was won the war only with communications without firing a shot. When a German heard the breathing of a Russian on the radio and realized that he was being listened to, it was enough to blow his own fuses and in 24 hours he appeared hanging from a tree!
Because the Russians heavily used communications to scramble and break the Nazis. Announcing false positions and offensives broke the nerves of the Germans who never knew where the Red Army was! And it also says that the problem after kursk - where even Hitler must have realized he lost the war - was also the massive casualties. With whole divisions that disappeared in a few hours. And he mentions that the problem was not the casualties themselves which the officers are prepared but the impossibility of properly training the reserves, never adapting to what they already knew about the maneuver of the Red Army. That they sent reconnaissance parties just as a diversion. And the orders from the Germans officers were never to kill these groups. But the nervous reservations could never resist. Which only made the situation worse because now they knew that they weren't being taken prisoner either. And from then on it was like watching them shoot at trees and fire friendky in the fog of war. In short, the war on the eastern front after the great battles of Stalingrad and Kursk was always very psychological.
What is still part of the DNA of Russian operational art today! Now with reserves strategically placed in the south, east and north, 3 fronts to burn the nerves of Ukrainians. And the resources! And the same with the Kherson beachhead that could turn to both Odessa and Kiev where it trapped the necessary AFU troops in the east and where it burned thousands of AFU troops for months until reinforcements from the new mobilization began to arrive and they found it expedient to retreat. Which the West portrays as a major setback!? And the world will never read the Russian General Staff bragging about the greatest feats in 20 years! Because it has a great intergenerational commitment. With WWII grandparents and grandchildren! It is no coincidence that the Immortal Regiment marches on the Day of Victory over Nazi Germany, where 27 Milions died. It's a completely different war culture. But the West also thinks that Russia has no right to worry about existential threats. After having been invaded and repelled all the great armies!
Which just proves that not even the US self-proclaimed greatest military force in the world can stand up to Russia on its border! And vice versa is also true! If they defeated the Nazis with millions of men and thousands of planes, imagine today with modern Russian SAMs! And how did the US get its military assets to Europe at war today with hypersonic missiles from Russia? What only proves is that this war was not provoked to defeat Russia but to wear down and overthrow Putin. Disconnecting the EU from Russia and by plundering Russia's natural resources control Eurasia.
Like the provocations around China in Asia Pacific! And Putin is not Russia either. A caricature created by the old Russophobic US propaganda so as not to call 150 million Russians what they call Putin every day! What the US doesn't realize is that if for some reason Putin were overthrown they might still have to face a leader of Russia 100 times less friendly to the West. Putin is the most pro-Western Kremlin leader ever except probably Gorbachev and CIA puppet Yeltsin! Putin was always a Germanophile contrary to what anti-Putin propaganda says today.
"Any aggressive action in Transnistria will be perceived as an Attack on Russia"
https://warnews247.gr/triti-proeidopoiisi-rosias-opoiadipote-epithetiki-energeia-stin-yperdneisteria-tha-eklifthei-os-epithesi-sti-rosia/ (Google translate from Greek)
This has been loking like a trip-wire to me for months.
Why Do the Ukrainians Allow Their Country to Be Completely Run by Jews?
https://russia-insider.com/en/why-do-ukrainians-allow-their-country-be-completely-run-jews/ri27010
This represents a particular political viewpoint, as opposed to posing an actual question about a well-defined situation. I'm not rejecting it from consideration, but it does not establish the presumption contained in the title-question.
"Presumes facts not found in evidence", as a lawyer would say.
The American Israeli Political Action Committee owns the United States government.
Volodymyr Zelensky is an Israeli operative., the Ukrainian parliament is full of Jewish apparatchiks . . .
Ukraine’s Azov Regiment Visits Israel: ‘Mariupol is our Masada’ . . . https://nationalvanguard.org/2022/12/ukraines-azov-regiment-visits-israel-mariupol-is-our-masada/
There is a lot of criminality in partisan politics. You point some out. People are often misled politically, and their wealth and freedoms taken away. We are all noticing this.
There are a lot of bad actors, representing hidden power elites. "Mariupol is our Masada" is a plea for funding. Elites fund what they see as serving their "interests", power and finance.
I seek principled actions of resistance, which I can try out, and maybe write about. Surviving the coming crisis, and keeping eyes open are important.
Protocols of Zion: Protocol VIII – Provisional Government
We shall surround our government with a whole world of economists. That is the reason why economic sciences form the principal subject of the teaching given to the jews. Around us again will be a whole constellation of bankers, industrialists, capitalists and – the main thing – millionaires, because in substance everything will be settled by the question of figures.
http://www.renegadetribune.com/protocols-of-zion-protocol-viii-provisional-government/
This site is reliable for economic analysis, fundamental analysis, not tricks.
https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/
From reading sources on the Russian side (Orlov, The Saker, etc.) I get the view that the Russians are content with how the war is going, their KIA aside. Two points they make - the goal is to "deNazify" and demilitarize Ukraine; and they won't trade soldiers for land.
Land can be retaken, soldiers cannot be raised from the dead. Remember, the Russians have fought here before. When pressed too hard, they pull back, like WWII, just like the Mongols "feigned flight" tactic but without the intent. The AFU rushes after them and gets blown to the proverbial smithereens by AFR artillery. The initial goal was to liberate the regions that wanted join Russia, but NATO's continued belligerence will probably result in the elimination of Ukraine altogether. We shall see. No plan survives contact with the enemy.
The demilitarization is ongoing. There is a reason Bakhmut is called "the meat grinder". There is video on Telegram of Ukrainian officers talking about how they are losing 1-2 companies a day, a battalion a week. The Russian offensive hasn't stalled. They are holding their ground advancing slowly via Wagner PMC, and killing Ukies. That's their style. They're in no hurry. The AFU keeeps sending in replacements, and AFR and Wagner keep killing them. The land will always be there, the soldiers won't.
One note about tactics/strategy - Ukraine/NATO had 8 years to prepare and what did they do? They dug trenches! How WWI. The Russians also borrowed from WWI, but they chose massive artillery forces. Trenches are worthless against drone guided artillery and even drones dropping grenades. I'm sure the weapons and tech advantage will determine the outcome.
Several other Russian sources (obviously biased but more objective than western media IMO) on Telegram - Intel Slava Z; AZgeopolitics; Ghost of ZVO. Lots of video from the front. Some just PR, but a lot of the reality of war. Another good source is Gonzalo Lira, Twitter and Youtube. Chilean journalist married to Ukranian, living in Kharkov.
There is a fair amount of frustration visible in the Russian language telegrams. But the more mature observers aren't dumb, they understand the forces in play here. Russia here, on some level, is forced to drag this out because they simultaneously play a part here in the conflict of US vs China. The latter ultimately profits from the pitiable weakening of EU, which is probably the most major geopolicical result so far of all the carnage. So far.
In the long run tho, the common objective is to defang the tools of US hegemony. And if the Blinken's of the world spend themselves on a proxy war in Ukraine, teaching a useful lesson to Taipei along the way, then the Chinese of course won't object. As long as the end state goes their way. And it's actually a remarkably cheap way for Beijing to arrange that outcome -- supply Russia with industrial goods, cash in on the market share spoils from EU's self destruction to pay for it. And otherwise just sit back and watch.
On the other hand if you have family from the area, even if no longer there, the level of carnage is genuinely alarming. So it goes, says Vonnegut.
The United States government is a wholly owned subsidiary of the American Israeli Political Action Committe . . . Who's the Treasury Secretary?
Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC) is acquiring Silicon Valley Bank’s U.K. arm . . . HSBC got caught laundering drug cartel money, former FBI director James Comey was on their board of directors . . . Former US Attorney General Loretta Lynch let HSBC off the hook for a small fine . . . I'll bet you didn't they manufacture fentanyl in Ukraine like they do in China.
Sodom Hussein Obama was just an organ grinder's monkey for the Mossad . . . The Israelis have been spying on the USA and selling secrets to China.
Thank you for your outstanding contribution. You, along with a few others, are educating me in ways I never thought I would be nor need to be educated which is in military matters. I find I have to reread your articles to get a glimmer of understanding but what I get gives me a far broader perspective from that upon which I started.
The totally brainless loss of life that this engineered conflict has inflicted upon humanity saddens me and I truly hope those who pushed the antagonists into this position suffer personally for the rest of their lives. They deserve that concept called karma now. Maybe then, Nuland and Sullivan will experience that fear that you understandably regard them as being incapable of.
No need to apologise for the time interval between articles. As I've said before, quality always trumps quantity.
"Conscripts cannot be deployed in combat outside of Russia without a declaration of war."
Most of the combat takes place in the four Oblasts which Russia formally annexed last Autumn. According to Russia's laws those are now inside Russian Federation.
Dear Serge Best to keep to long posts like this one, in my opinion, or even longer if you wish, history is best written or documented as it unfolds especially in this near unique case of propoganda and mis information easier by far to sense, recognise and attribute reasons for and shades of significance to at the time than subsequently - this war which is but a preparation for the next in ways which are are becoming more obvious and meaningful, one in which the propoganda may be more successful in obscuring any/all information and insight
in line with this quote-
“The Braudelian conception of time is fundamental to the student of war because it allows him to inscribe his vision as well as his theoretical reflection over the long duration, that which helps to access the time of war. The latter is opposed to the Man of the 21st century, a man in a hurry whose mental and temporal horizon is subject to the diktat of the instantaneousness of journalistic analyses, mass media and social networks” (Olivier Entraygues, Regards sur la guerre: l’école de la défaite [A Look at the War: The School of Defeat])
Helps explain the curiously large effort Russia has put into digging fortified lines behind the front ... recreating the army is going to take some time, and is best left undisturbed by crises at the front.
And unrelated, from my own slender reading of military history, I concluded years ago that wars always begin with an optimism of quick victory, but that never happens. Nobody is ever home by Christmas.
But I threw all that out the window for this war. Men believe what they wish, I'm told Julius Ceasar said that, and it's true.
Alexei Mozgovoy was such a man, perhaps beyond the understanding of most ... "We Russians, Ukrainians, Belarusians are bequeathed to be together. And the fact that today we are mad and hate each other is the main indictment against us—we have violated this covenant..."
A superb analysis, and a fine writer to boot.
Like many in the world I was waiting for the Russian hammer to drop, to deliver a Fichtean Anstoss or "check" to the depredations of the Hegemon, indeed to see it shrivel away from the conflict like a snail from salt. In a sense the hammer has dropped as this essay makes clear, in the countless "small" actions Ukraine is forced to carry on with (given the glare of publicity in front of its western backers), and doing so at a terrible cost. Meanwhile the Russians will perfect their operational art of war.
The essay does not deal with the end of this war but it will be a Russian victory of one kind or another, all of them decisive in my view, and that is when the shoe at least will drop for "NATO." On a visceral level I anticipate with great pleasure finally escaping the daily nausea of having to unwillingly imbibe the ceaseless propaganda from MSM, and to imagine the denizens in their "international community" (U.S. and client states--some 1/5 of the planet's population) looking up from their troughs wondering why the rich and heady daily fare has become a thin gruel of discontent and wan exculpation: why silent now the trumpets and drumbeats of war? Whereto our Great Cause? One can only hope this may obvert their understandings of the shadowplay on the wall as they are turned to face the light and realize that war is not peace, slavery is not freedom, ignorance is not strength etc. Bless you Eric Blair you saw it all coming. May all proles discover the liberation of apostasy.
But above all the final shattering of the NATO burlesque will give a blast of fresh air to the majority of the planet. We who have been watching a drunken bully beating up midgets on the dance floor for decades (Vietnam, Panama, Grenada, Afghanistan,Iraq, Serbia, Syria et.al.), can now watch with justifiable schadenfreude, the aerated hubris of a tyrant rapidly deflated as the wheel of karma turns and he ends up in a real cage fight against the likes of an Emelianenko as opposed to Butterbean... in Ukraine, or--goddess help us--globally.
The neocons and their reptilian ilk got the war they craved but are clearly not popping the champagne in Washington just now as they finally discern the inevitable creeping closer every day. "Be careful what you wish for" as the trope goes.