Empire prepared well, there were more Javelin, Stinger etc in country prior to the 24th than Russia probably has active tanks, helicopters.
The expectation of Russia had been that they would charge headlong into a force on force engagement over prepared defences, getting into urban battles taking enormous casual…
Empire prepared well, there were more Javelin, Stinger etc in country prior to the 24th than Russia probably has active tanks, helicopters.
The expectation of Russia had been that they would charge headlong into a force on force engagement over prepared defences, getting into urban battles taking enormous casualties as such actions involve.
Even if the Russians won these engagements as was likely it would be at a very high cost in men and materiel.
Next phase would have been a low cost insurgency that could be run indefinitely (through Poland Baltics) till Russia bled out. Evidenced by SBU successes and cells uncovered till date.
Unfortunately Russia decided not to play this game. After securing vital terrain Russia decided to sit back and lob 152 mm HE, from the peripheries of the map.
Having expended approximately 1.5-2 mln rounds already, they don't appear to be slowing down.
I suspect even the general staff has any idea how many 152 HE they have in stockpile.
Of course if they run out they can always turn to Kim as reported by reliable resources.
Meanwhile I hear the other Kims are to contribute an astronomical 100,000 rounds of 155 he to the Kiev charity drive. Not sure if Seoul or Washington split the bill.
Do note that 152 mm from Soviet stockpiles is already paid for whereas future 155mm will have to be paid for.
Also you would be glad to know that 155mm costs between 5-10 times more than 152 mm. Not much difference between them except who manufactures them and where. State enterprises vs Mil Corporations.
Makes one wonder if Russia will run out of artillery shells before Kiev runs out of support and/or conscripts.
See it's one thing firing Javelins out of windows blowing up cars and trucks shelling market squares, quite another engaging in an artillery slugfest with an army that is built around artillery. (HIMARS or no HIMARS)
Empire was prepared but for a different type of war
I am sure they can cope, just that it's going to cost a bit more.
Then again a few million here a couple of billions there and suddenly the costs start adding up and you start wondering ...,
p.s. to those interested in serious discourse I do apologise for any frivolity in tone.
I do however believe this to be an important aspect of the course of events that we are witnessing.
Russian artillery is unguided and requires a long intensive supply chain on a limited number of rail lines that are under continual observation. Just watch where the trains unload. Then a quick further glance tells you where the ammo dumps are. Dial in the GPS coordinates into a precision guided rocket or two that outranges the Russian artillery, no more Russian Ammo. Very likely, you can use the Ammo dump to locate the artillery too.
Against better judgement...
Empire prepared well, there were more Javelin, Stinger etc in country prior to the 24th than Russia probably has active tanks, helicopters.
The expectation of Russia had been that they would charge headlong into a force on force engagement over prepared defences, getting into urban battles taking enormous casualties as such actions involve.
Even if the Russians won these engagements as was likely it would be at a very high cost in men and materiel.
Next phase would have been a low cost insurgency that could be run indefinitely (through Poland Baltics) till Russia bled out. Evidenced by SBU successes and cells uncovered till date.
Unfortunately Russia decided not to play this game. After securing vital terrain Russia decided to sit back and lob 152 mm HE, from the peripheries of the map.
Having expended approximately 1.5-2 mln rounds already, they don't appear to be slowing down.
I suspect even the general staff has any idea how many 152 HE they have in stockpile.
Of course if they run out they can always turn to Kim as reported by reliable resources.
Meanwhile I hear the other Kims are to contribute an astronomical 100,000 rounds of 155 he to the Kiev charity drive. Not sure if Seoul or Washington split the bill.
Do note that 152 mm from Soviet stockpiles is already paid for whereas future 155mm will have to be paid for.
Also you would be glad to know that 155mm costs between 5-10 times more than 152 mm. Not much difference between them except who manufactures them and where. State enterprises vs Mil Corporations.
Makes one wonder if Russia will run out of artillery shells before Kiev runs out of support and/or conscripts.
See it's one thing firing Javelins out of windows blowing up cars and trucks shelling market squares, quite another engaging in an artillery slugfest with an army that is built around artillery. (HIMARS or no HIMARS)
Empire was prepared but for a different type of war
I am sure they can cope, just that it's going to cost a bit more.
Then again a few million here a couple of billions there and suddenly the costs start adding up and you start wondering ...,
p.s. to those interested in serious discourse I do apologise for any frivolity in tone.
I do however believe this to be an important aspect of the course of events that we are witnessing.
Russian artillery is unguided and requires a long intensive supply chain on a limited number of rail lines that are under continual observation. Just watch where the trains unload. Then a quick further glance tells you where the ammo dumps are. Dial in the GPS coordinates into a precision guided rocket or two that outranges the Russian artillery, no more Russian Ammo. Very likely, you can use the Ammo dump to locate the artillery too.