Great analysis. Don't underestimate the West escalating because they know they are in an untenible strategic position. I hear a Russian missile hit Poland today...
Great analysis. Don't underestimate the West escalating because they know they are in an untenible strategic position. I hear a Russian missile hit Poland today...
It is possible that west may do something desperate but it is unlikely.
Milley's statement has pretty much confirmed that militarily there is no direct intervention to be expected.
Biggest giveaway is the status of trade. Setting aside the eyewash of sanctions trade overall has picked up. Crises has been good for energy prices/profit and metals are essential for corporate America.
A trap was set and Russia managed to not fall in.
All parties realise it. Russia still has to clean up on the battlefield but that is not where the real war will be pursued. The general on that front is Lavrov not Surovikin. The only success so far has been the Nord Stream fiasco but that may in time also turn out to be detrimental to overall calculus.
Deindustrializing Europe may put America on a better footing against China in the short term but the cost of loosing Germany France Australia Saudi UAE Brazil etc may not be profitable or prudent in the long term. If dollar actually had to compete with currencies backed by something real then that national debt would start looking very worrisome.
As for the Poland missile incident I am sure some guttural noises will be made but nothing is to come out of it since the image of the fragments clearly show it belonging to an S300 rocket fired by Kiev.
There should be no fallout of any significance unless the Polish are really enthusiastic about going in without NATO. NATO by all indications does not want to fight an actual war.
Things are developing and miscalculations may occur, desperate attempts may be made but as of right now I believe this is where things stand.
Next big event is likely to be global financial meltdown that will see some sink some swim but none unscathed.
Great analysis. Don't underestimate the West escalating because they know they are in an untenible strategic position. I hear a Russian missile hit Poland today...
It is possible that west may do something desperate but it is unlikely.
Milley's statement has pretty much confirmed that militarily there is no direct intervention to be expected.
Biggest giveaway is the status of trade. Setting aside the eyewash of sanctions trade overall has picked up. Crises has been good for energy prices/profit and metals are essential for corporate America.
A trap was set and Russia managed to not fall in.
All parties realise it. Russia still has to clean up on the battlefield but that is not where the real war will be pursued. The general on that front is Lavrov not Surovikin. The only success so far has been the Nord Stream fiasco but that may in time also turn out to be detrimental to overall calculus.
Deindustrializing Europe may put America on a better footing against China in the short term but the cost of loosing Germany France Australia Saudi UAE Brazil etc may not be profitable or prudent in the long term. If dollar actually had to compete with currencies backed by something real then that national debt would start looking very worrisome.
As for the Poland missile incident I am sure some guttural noises will be made but nothing is to come out of it since the image of the fragments clearly show it belonging to an S300 rocket fired by Kiev.
There should be no fallout of any significance unless the Polish are really enthusiastic about going in without NATO. NATO by all indications does not want to fight an actual war.
Things are developing and miscalculations may occur, desperate attempts may be made but as of right now I believe this is where things stand.
Next big event is likely to be global financial meltdown that will see some sink some swim but none unscathed.