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I am in the same region

3 miles from the ocean things are a bit warmer but a week of arctic air and the ground will solid. Betcha it’s frozen by the end Of the month.

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Iirc, forecast showed Kiev with 4-5 days at 17-18F next week before back to 25-30 ish. That will give a good deep freeze. Don't know how far south those temps will extend, though.

I'm not taking any bets on Nov or December tho, lol. Frozen ground is just one pre-req.

They also need to finish taking out power, which I'm not sure they've done yet. And there are likely other triggers we don"t know.

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