I think MacGregor is right. Russia wants to end the war; since US/nato are not agreement capable, there must be a crushing win. But they can't start until the ground freezes enough to support the vehicles, & it may not do that on the south coast regions.
I live in midcoast Maine, right at the 44th parallel, roughly same as Kherson. It is …
I think MacGregor is right. Russia wants to end the war; since US/nato are not agreement capable, there must be a crushing win. But they can't start until the ground freezes enough to support the vehicles, & it may not do that on the south coast regions.
I live in midcoast Maine, right at the 44th parallel, roughly same as Kherson. It is mud season now & there is no guarantee the ground will freeze in any given winter, never mind freeze enough to hold heavy vehicles. Eg, I usually can bring in a few thousand pounds of hay between Christmas & New Years, but some years I can't & have to move my car outside & use my high & dry garage for hay storage instead. The trend in recent years has been for later freezing, and not freezing. Or freeze - thaw - refreeze, but never deep enough for the hay truck. Probably similar over there.
Russia is building up heavily in the north in Belarus, as well as fortifying the south. The Kherson soldiers are getting a rest. The northern, inland areas will freeze for sure. They can close in from the north, the west & maybe also the south.
Large bodies of water have a significant local impact, as well as latitude. I expect the local weather on the coast in Kherson (mid-40s+ lat), not to mention Crimea, is significantly different than, say north of Kiev, inland, (mid 50s lat).
Regardless of how Maine is classified, reality is more like a lot of microclimates. Southern Maine has whole different temperature range than north of Bangor. And inland Maine is totally different than the coast.
Iirc, forecast showed Kiev with 4-5 days at 17-18F next week before back to 25-30 ish. That will give a good deep freeze. Don't know how far south those temps will extend, though.
I'm not taking any bets on Nov or December tho, lol. Frozen ground is just one pre-req.
They also need to finish taking out power, which I'm not sure they've done yet. And there are likely other triggers we don"t know.
I think MacGregor is right. Russia wants to end the war; since US/nato are not agreement capable, there must be a crushing win. But they can't start until the ground freezes enough to support the vehicles, & it may not do that on the south coast regions.
I live in midcoast Maine, right at the 44th parallel, roughly same as Kherson. It is mud season now & there is no guarantee the ground will freeze in any given winter, never mind freeze enough to hold heavy vehicles. Eg, I usually can bring in a few thousand pounds of hay between Christmas & New Years, but some years I can't & have to move my car outside & use my high & dry garage for hay storage instead. The trend in recent years has been for later freezing, and not freezing. Or freeze - thaw - refreeze, but never deep enough for the hay truck. Probably similar over there.
Russia is building up heavily in the north in Belarus, as well as fortifying the south. The Kherson soldiers are getting a rest. The northern, inland areas will freeze for sure. They can close in from the north, the west & maybe also the south.
Maine is temperate oceanic while Kherson is temperate continental climate. Big difference.
Large bodies of water have a significant local impact, as well as latitude. I expect the local weather on the coast in Kherson (mid-40s+ lat), not to mention Crimea, is significantly different than, say north of Kiev, inland, (mid 50s lat).
Regardless of how Maine is classified, reality is more like a lot of microclimates. Southern Maine has whole different temperature range than north of Bangor. And inland Maine is totally different than the coast.
I am in the same region
3 miles from the ocean things are a bit warmer but a week of arctic air and the ground will solid. Betcha it’s frozen by the end Of the month.
Iirc, forecast showed Kiev with 4-5 days at 17-18F next week before back to 25-30 ish. That will give a good deep freeze. Don't know how far south those temps will extend, though.
I'm not taking any bets on Nov or December tho, lol. Frozen ground is just one pre-req.
They also need to finish taking out power, which I'm not sure they've done yet. And there are likely other triggers we don"t know.